NgoSeptemba 21, ixesha lendawo, uMongameli waseRashiya uVladimir Putin wanikela idilesi yevidiyo, ebhengeza ukuhlanganiswa okuyingxenye ukususela ngoSeptemba 21, kwaye wathi iRashiya iya kuxhasa isigqibo esenziwe ngabahlali baseDonbas kwingingqi, iZaporoge Prefecture kunye neHerson Prefecture kwi-referendum.
Ukuhlanganiswa kokuqala emva kweMfazwe Yehlabathi II
Kwintetho yakhe, uPutin ubhengeze ukuba "kuphela ngabemi abakhoyo ngoku kwiindawo zogcino, ngaphezu kwabo bonke abo baye basebenza emkhosini kwaye banolwazi oluthile lomkhosi kunye namava afanelekileyo, baya kubizelwa emkhosini" kwaye "abo bathe basebenza emkhosini". baye babizelwa emkhosini kuya kufuneka bafumane uqeqesho olongezelelekileyo lwasemkhosini ngaphambi kokuba basiwe emkhosini. "Umphathiswa wezoKhuselo waseRussia uSergei Shoigu uthe abantu abangama-300,000 abaza kuphinda babizwe njengenxalenye yolu hlanganiso.Kwakhona wabonisa ukuba iRashiya ayikho kuphela imfazwe ne-Ukraine, kodwa kunye neNtshona.
IReuters inike ingxelo ngoLwesibini ukuba uMongameli waseRussia uVladimir Putin ubhengeze umyalelo wokuhlanganisa, ongowokuqala ukuhlanganiswa eRussia ukusukela kwiMfazwe yesibini yeHlabathi.
Uvoto malunga nobulungu baseRussia lubanjwe kule veki
Inkokeli yengingqi yaseLuhansk uMikhail Miroshnichenko uthe ngeCawa ukuba i-referendum kwi-bid yaseLuhansk yokujoyina iRashiya iya kubanjwa ukususela ngoJulayi 23 ukuya kwi-27, i-arhente yeendaba yaseRashiya iSputnik yabika.Inkokeli yengingqi yaseDonetsk uAlexander Pushilin ubhengeze kwangolo suku lunye ukuba iDonetsk kunye neLuhansk ziya kubamba ireferendamu yokujoyina iRussia ngaxeshanye.Ukongeza kwingingqi yeDonbass, amagosa olawulo lwemimandla ye-Pro-Russian Hershon kunye neZaporoge nayo yabhengeza ngo-Aprili 20 ukuba baya kubamba i-referendum malunga nobulungu baseRashiya ukususela ngo-Aprili 23 ukuya kwi-27.
"I-referendum kufuneka ibanjwe kwingingqi ye-Donbass, engabalulekanga kuphela ekukhuseleni ngokucwangcisiweyo kwabantu kodwa nokubuyisela ubulungisa bembali," uDmitry Medvedev, usekela sihlalo weBhunga lezoKhuseleko laseRussian Federation, uthe ngeCawa. .Kwimeko yokuhlaselwa ngokuthe ngqo kwintsimi yaseRashiya, iRashiya iya kukwazi ukusebenzisa yonke imikhosi yayo ukuzikhusela.Yiyo loo nto ezi referendum zoyikisa kakhulu eKiev naseNtshona."
Liya kuba yintoni ifuthe lekamva longquzulwano olukhulayo kuqoqosho lwehlabathi nakurhwebo lwamazwe ngamazwe?
Iintshukumo ezintsha kwiimarike zemali
NgoSeptemba 20, zonke iimarike ezinkulu ezintathu zaseYurophu zawa, i-stock market yaseRashiya yafumana ukuthengiswa okubukhali.Ngomhla ngakumbi kunye nengxabano yaseUkraine ehambelana neendaba yaphuma, kwinqanaba elithile, yachaphazela isimo sengqondo sabatyalo-mali baseRashiya.
Ukurhweba kwiponti yaseBritani kuya kunqunyanyiswa kwimarike yotshintshiselwano lwangaphandle lwaseMoscow ukusuka nge-3 ka-Okthobha 2022, iMoscow Exchange ithe kwingxelo kade ngoMvulo.Ukumiswa kubandakanya ukutshintshiselana kunye nokuthengiswa ngaphandle kwe-Pound-ruble kunye ne-pound-dollar spot kunye norhwebo lwangaphambili.
Utshintshiselwano lwaseMoscow luchaze imingcipheko enokubakho kunye nobunzima bokucoca i-sterling njengesizathu sokunqunyanyiswa.Iintengiselwano kunye neentengiselwano ebezigqitywe ngaphambili eza kuvalwa phambi kwaye kubandakanywa noSeptemba 30, 2022 ziya kuphunyezwa ngendlela eqhelekileyo.
Utshintshiselwano lwaseMoscow lwathi lusebenza kunye neebhanki ukuba ziphinde ziqalise ukurhweba ngexesha eliza kubhengezwa.
Ngaphambili, uMnu Putin wezoqoqosho BBS plenary iseshoni empuma, uthe United States ukuba baphishekele iimfuno zabo, ungaze unciphise, ukuze bafezekise iinjongo zabo akayi kuba neentloni ngayo nantoni na, iUnited States yatshabalalisa isiseko soqoqosho lwehlabathi. i-odolo, idola kunye neponti ilahlekelwe ukuthembeka, iRashiya kukuyeka ukuyisebenzisa.
Enyanisweni, i-ruble iqinisiwe ukususela ekungeneni kwayo kwiintsuku zokuqala zengxabano kwaye ngoku izinzile kwi-60 kwidola.
U-Peng Wensheng, ingcali yezoqoqosho kwi-CICC, wachaza ukuba esona sizathu sibalulekileyo sokuxabisa i-ruble ngokuchasene nemarike sisikhundla saseRashiya njengomvelisi obalulekileyo wamandla kunye nomthengisi ngaphandle kwemvelaphi yokubaluleka kwempahla yokwenene.Amava akutshanje aseRashiya abonisa ukuba kumxholo wokuchasana nehlabathi kunye ne-definancialization, ukubaluleka kwee-asethi zangempela zanda, kunye nendima exhasayo yempahla yemali yelizwe iya kwanda.
Iibhanki zaseTurkey zishiya inkqubo yokuhlawula yaseRashiya
Ukuze ugweme ukubandakanyeka kungquzulwano lwemali phakathi kweRashiya kunye namazwe aseNtshona, iBhanki yezoShishino yaseTurkey kunye neBhanki yaseDeniz yabhengeza ngoSeptemba 19 ukuba baya kumisa ukusetyenziswa kwenkqubo yentlawulo ye-Mir yaseRashiya, i-CCTV News kunye neendaba zaseTurkey zibike ngoSeptemba 20, ixesha lendawo. .
Inkqubo yentlawulo ye "Mir" yinkqubo yokuhlawula kunye nokucoca eyasungulwa yiBhanki Enkulu yaseRashiya ngo-2014, enokusetyenziswa kumazwe amaninzi angaphandle kunye nemimandla.Ukususela ekuqhambukeni kwengxabano phakathi kweRashiya ne-Ukraine, iTurkey iye yacacisa ukuba ayiyi kuthatha inxaxheba kwizohlwayo zaseNtshona nxamnye neRashiya kwaye igcine urhwebo oluqhelekileyo kunye neRashiya.Ngaphambili, iibhanki ezintlanu zaseTurkey zasebenzisa inkqubo yokuhlawula i-Mir, okwenza kube lula kubakhenkethi baseRashiya ukuba bahlawule kwaye bachithe imali ngelixa betyelela eTurkey.Unondyebo waseTurkey kunye noMphathiswa wezeMali u-Ali Naibati uthe abakhenkethi baseRussia babalulekile kuqoqosho lwaseTurkey olutsala nzima.
Amaxabiso okutya ehlabathi kulindeleke ukuba aqhubeke nokunyuka
U-Lian Ping, ingcali yezoqoqosho kunye nomlawuli weziko lophando lweZhixin Investment, uthe ungquzulwano phakathi kweRussia ne-Ukraine yenze mandundu imeko yokunqongophala kokutya kunye nokunyuka kwamaxabiso okutya kwimveliso kunye nemiba yorhwebo.Ngenxa yoko, abantu kwiindawo ezithile zehlabathi, ingakumbi kumazwe asakhasayo, bajamelene nendlala, echaphazela uzinzo lwentlalo yasekuhlaleni nokuchacha kwezoqoqosho.
Umnumzana uPutin uthe ngaphambili kwiseshini yesigqeba seForam yezoQoqosho yaseMpuma ukuba izithintelo zaseNtshona zokuthunyelwa kwemveliso yezolimo kunye nezichumisi eRussia ziye zadanjiswa, kodwa ingxaki ayikasonjululwa ngokupheleleyo, okukhokelela ekunyukeni kwamaxabiso okutya.Uluntu lwamazwe ngamazwe kufuneka lusebenze kunye ukunqanda ukunyuka kwamaxabiso okutya.
U-Chen Xing, umhlalutyi oyintloko we-Zhongtai Securities, wachaza ukuba ukususela oko kwaqhambuka ungquzulwano phakathi kweRashiya ne-Ukraine, ikhonkco lokubonelela ngokutya kwehlabathi liye lachaphazeleka kakhulu, kwaye amaxabiso okutya kumazwe ngamazwe aye enyuka.Amaxabiso ezizwe ngezizwe emva koko aye abuyela umva koko kulindelweyo kwimveliso kunye nenguqu kwiimveliso ezithunyelwa ngaphandle eziziinkozo zase-Ukraine.
Kodwa u-Chen waphinda wagxininisa ukuba ukunqongophala kwezichumisi eYurophu kunokuchaphazela ukutyalwa kwezityalo zasekwindla njengoko ingxaki yegesi yaseYurophu iqhubeka.Ngeli xesha, ungquzulwano phakathi kweRussia ne-Ukraine lusathintela ukuveliswa kokutya, kwaye ukunyanzeliswa kwe-India kwiirhafu zokuthunyelwa kwerayisi kumazwe angaphandle kusongela ukuhanjiswa kwakhona.Amaxabiso okutya kumazwe ngamazwe kulindeleke ukuba aqhubeke nokunyuka ngenxa yamaxabiso aphezulu ezichumisi, impixano yaseRussia-Ukraine kunye namaxabiso okuthumela ngaphandle asuka eIndiya.
U-Chen uqaphele ukuba ukuthengiswa kwengqolowa e-Ukraine kwehle ngaphezulu kweepesenti ezingama-50 ukusuka kulo nyaka uphelileyo emva kokuqhambuka kwengxabano yaseRussia-Ukraine.Ukuthunyelwa kwengqolowa yaseRashiya kumazwe angaphandle nako kuye kwalimala kakhulu, kwehla malunga nekota kwiinyanga ezimbini zokuqala zonyaka omtsha wezolimo.Nangona ukuvulwa kwakhona kwezibuko loLwandle oluMnyama kuye kwanciphisa uxinzelelo lokutya, ingxabano phakathi kweRashiya ne-Ukraine ayinakusombululwa kwixesha elifutshane, kwaye amaxabiso okutya ahlala exinzelelo oluphezulu.
Ibaluleke kangakanani imakethi yeoli?
Umlawuli wophando lwamandla eHaitong uYang An uthe iRussia yabhengeza inxalenye yomkhosi womkhosi, imeko ye-geopolitical ngaphandle kolawulo lomngcipheko inyuka ngakumbi, amaxabiso eoyile emva kokuba iindaba zakhawuleza zanyuka.Njengesixhobo esibalulekileyo, i-oyile inomdla kakhulu kule nto, kwaye imarike yanikezela ngokukhawuleza iprimiyamu yengozi ye-geopolitical, eyimpendulo yoxinzelelo lwexesha elifutshane.Ukuba imeko iyawohloka, izohlwayo zasentshona ngokuchasene neRashiya ngamandla amakhulu, kwaye zithintele abathengi baseAsia kwioli yaseRussia, inokwenza iRussia ibonelele ngeoyile ekrwada ingaphantsi kunoko kulindelweyo, ezisa kwioyile kufuneka ixhaswe, kodwa ngokuqwalasela imarike iye yanamava ngexesha Isiqingatha sokuqala sezohlwayo ngokuchasene nonikezelo lwaseRashiya ngokulindelekileyo ngokugqithisileyo zaye zatshintshwa kamva kwiminyaka yokuqala yelahleko, Impembelelo iya kufuneka ilandelelwe njengoko iziganeko ziqhubeka.Ukongeza, kwixesha eliphakathi ukuya kwixesha elide, ukwanda kwesikali semfazwe yeyona nto imbi kuqoqosho lwehlabathi, olungancediyo kuphuhliso olusempilweni lwemarike.
"Ukuthunyelwa kwe-oli ekrwada eRashiya elwandle kwehle kakhulu kwisiqingatha sokuqala sale nyanga. Ukuthunyelwa kwe-oyile ekrwada kumazibuko ayo kwehle malunga ne-900,000 yemiphanda ngosuku kwiveki ukuya kwi-16 Septemba, amaxabiso e-oyile aguquguquka kakhulu kwiindaba zayizolo. Sinyusa amazinga Ukunqanda imeko yokunyuka kwamaxabiso entengo bacinga ukuba amaxabiso eoli aya kuqhubeka umva izinto eziguquguqukayo ezingundoqo zonikezelo azisayi kuqhubeka ziwohloka, njengonikezelo lwangoku lwe-oyile ekrwada eRashiya nangona izinto zitshintsha, kodwa ilahleko ilinganiselwe, kodwa xa kunyuka, kukhokelela ekubeni unikezelo lweengxaki ezikhoyo, emva koko unyuse amazinga enzala kwixesha elifutshane kuya kuba nzima ukucinezela amaxabiso.Umhlalutyi weCtic Futures uYang Jiaming uthe.
Ngaba iYurophu Ibuhlungu kwiNgqungquthela yaseUkraine?
Kwiintsuku zokuqala zongquzulwano, ii-arhente ezininzi zaqikelela ukuba ukusebenza kwezoqoqosho eRashiya kuya kuhla nge-10% kulo nyaka, kodwa ilizwe ngoku libambe ngcono kunokuba bebecinga.
I-GDP yaseRashiya yawa yi-0.4% kwisiqingatha sokuqala se-2022, ngokweenkcukacha ezisemthethweni.Kuyaphawuleka ukuba iRussia ibone umfanekiso oxubeneyo wemveliso yamandla, kubandakanya i-oyile negesi, ukuncipha kodwa amaxabiso ayenyuka, kunye nerekhodi langoku lentsalela ye-70.1 yeebhiliyoni zeedola kwikota yesibini, eyona iphezulu ukusukela ngo-1994.
NgoJulayi, i-International Monetary Fund iphakamise i-GDP yayo ye-GDP eRashiya kulo nyaka ngeepesenti ze-2.5 zeepesenti, ichaza ukunyanzeliswa kwe-6 ekhulwini.I-IMF yaphawula ukuba ngaphandle kohlwayo lwaseNtshona, iRussia yabonakala inempembelelo yayo kwaye imfuno yasekhaya ibonise ukomelela.
Owayesakuba yiNkulumbuso yaseGrisi u-Alexis Tsipras ucatshulwe yi-EPT esithi iYurophu yayineyona nto ilahlekileyo ye-geopolitical kwingxabano yaseRussia-Ukraine, ngelixa i-United States yayingenanto yokulahlekelwa.
Abaphathiswa bezamandla kwi-European Union (EU) babambe intlanganiso engxamisekileyo ngoMvulo ukuxoxa ngamanyathelo akhethekileyo okunciphisa iindleko ezinyukayo zamandla kunye nokunciphisa ingxaki yokubonelelwa kwamandla, utshilo u-You Ting, umncedisi womphandi kwiCarbon Neutral Development Institute yaseShanghai Jiao Tong University.Oku kubandakanya irhafu yengeniso ye-windfall kwiinkampani zamandla, i-cap kwi-marginal cost yexabiso lombane kunye ne-cap cap kwi-gas yendalo yaseRashiya.Nangona kunjalo, ukusuka kwintlanganiso yazisa iziphumo zeengxoxo, ngaphambili zixhalabile malunga nomda wexabiso legesi yaseRashiya, ngenxa yokwahlukana okukhulu kwangaphakathi phakathi kwamazwe angamalungu ahlulekile ukufikelela kwisivumelwano.
Kwi-EU, i-shelving ingxabano kunye nokuhlala kunye yindlela enamandla yokusinda kubanda, kodwa obu busika bunokuba "bubanda kakhulu" kwaye "ixabiso elibi kakhulu" kwiminyaka yakutshanje phambi koxinzelelo olusebenzayo kunye nesimo esinzima sokulwa neRashiya, Utshilo uYuding.
Ixesha lokuposa: Sep-23-2022