Musi waGunyana 21, nguva yemuno, Mutungamiriri weRussia Vladimir Putin akapa kero yevhidhiyo, achizivisa kuunganidzwa kwechikamu kubva munaGunyana 21, uye achiti Russia ichatsigira sarudzo yakaitwa nevagari vemudunhu reDonbas, Zaporoge Prefecture neHerson Prefecture mureferendamu.
Kutanga kuunganidza mushure meHondo Yenyika II
Mukutaura kwake, Putin akazivisa kuti "avo chete vagari vari munzvimbo dzakachengetwa, pamusoro peavo vakamboshanda muchiuto uye vane humwe hunyanzvi hwechiuto uye ruzivo rwakakodzera, vachadaidzwa kuhondo" uye kuti "avo vakashevedzwa kuti vapinde muchiuto vachazofanira kudzidziswa zvechiuto vasati vaendeswa kumauto."Gurukota rezvekudzivirirwa kweRussia, Sergei Shoigu, vakati mazana matatu ezviuru emareservists achadaidzwa sechikamu chekuunganidza.Akataurawo kuti Russia haisi kurwisana neUkraine chete, asiwo neWest.
Reuters yakashuma neChipiri kuti Mutungamiri weRussia Vladimir Putin akazivisa hurongwa hwekuunganidza, hunova kekutanga kuunganidza muRussia kubva Hondo Yenyika II.
Referendamu yenhengo dzeRussia yakaitwa svondo rino
Mutungamiriri wedunhu reLuhansk, Mikhail Miroshnichenko, akataura neSvondo kuti referendamu yeLuhansk yekubatana neRussia ichaitwa kubva munaChikunguru 23 kusvika 27, sangano renhau reRussia Sputnik rakashuma.Mutungamiriri wedunhu reDonetsk Alexander Pushilin akazivisa pazuva rimwe chete kuti Donetsk neLuhansk vachaita referendamu yekubatana neRussia panguva imwe chete.Pamusoro pedunhu reDonbass, vakuru vakuru vematunhu ePro-Russian Hershon neZaporoge vakazivisawo muna Kubvumbi 20 kuti vachaita referendamu yenhengo yeRussia kubva Kubvumbi 23 kusvika 27.
"Referendamu inofanirwa kuitwa mudunhu reDonbass, iyo yakakosha kwete chete kudzivirira kwakarongeka kwehuwandu hwevanhu asiwo nekudzoreredza kwehutongo hwenhoroondo," Dmitry Medvedev, mutevedzeri wasachigaro weSecurity Council yeRussian Federation, akadaro neSvondo. .Muchiitiko chekurwisa kwakananga kunharaunda yeRussia, Russia ichakwanisa kushandisa masimba ayo ese kuzvidzivirira.Ndosaka mareferendamu aya achityisa kuKiev nekuMadokero. "
Chii chichava mhedzisiro yeramangwana rekunetsana kuri kuwedzera uku paupfumi hwenyika nekutengeserana kwenyika?
Mafambiro matsva mumisika yemari
Musi waSeptember 20, misika mitatu mikuru yeEurope yakadonha, misika yeRussia yakatambura kutengesa kwakanyanya.Zuva rakawanda uye mhirizhonga yeUkraine ine chekuita nenhau yakabuda, kusvika pamwero wakati, yakakanganisa mafungiro evaridzi vemasheya eRussia.
Kutengeserana kwepaundi yeBritish kuchamiswa pamusika wekutsinhana kwekunze weMoscow kubva Gumiguru 3, 2022, iyo Moscow Exchange yakati mukutaura kunonoka neMuvhuro.Iko kumiswa kunosanganisira pa-exchange uye off-exchange kutengeserana kwePound-ruble uye pound-dollar nzvimbo uye mberi kutengeserana.
Kutsinhana kweMoscow kwakaratidza njodzi dzinogona kuitika uye matambudziko mukubvisa sterling sechikonzero chekumiswa.Mafambisirwo akambopedzwa uye kutengeserana kuvharwa pamberi uye kusanganisira Nyamavhuvhu 30, 2022 ichaitwa nenzira yakajairika.
Kutsinhana kweMoscow kwakati kwaive kushanda nemabhanga kuti atangezve kutengesa panguva ichaziviswa.
Pakutanga, Putin's Economic BBS plenary session yekumabvazuva, akati United States iite zvido zvayo, usambozvinyima, kuitira kuti vazadzise zvinangwa zvavo havazonyadziswi nechero chinhu, United States yakaparadza hwaro hwehupfumi hwenyika. kurongeka, dhora nepondo zvakarasa kuvimbika, Russia yave kurega kuzvishandisa.
Kutaura zvazviri, ruble yakasimbiswa kubva pakudonha kwayo mumazuva ekutanga emakakatanwa uye ikozvino yakagadzikana pa60 kusvika kudhora.
Peng Wensheng, mukuru wezvehupfumi weCICC, akataura kuti chikonzero chakakosha chekutenda kweRuble pamusika inzvimbo yeRussia semugadziri wemagetsi akakosha uye mutengesi kunze kwemamiriro ekuwedzera kukosha kwemidziyo chaiyo.Chiitiko chechangobva kuitika cheRussia chinoratidza kuti mumamiriro ekurwisana nepasi rose uye definancialization, kukosha kwezvinhu zvechokwadi kunowedzera, uye basa rinotsigira rezvigadzirwa zvemari yenyika richawedzera.
Mabhangi eTurkey anosiya nzira yekubhadhara yeRussia
Kuti vadzivise kubatanidzwa mumakakatanwa emari pakati peRussia nenyika dzekuMadokero, Turkey Industrial Bank neDeniz Bank yakazivisa munaGunyana 19 kuti vaizomisa kushandiswa kweRussia Mir mubhadharo system, CCTV News neTurkey media yakashuma munaGunyana 20, nguva yemuno. .
Iyo "Mir" yekubhadhara system ndiyo yekubhadhara uye yekuchenesa system yakatangwa neCentral Bank yeRussia muna 2014, iyo inogona kushandiswa munyika dzakawanda dzekunze nematunhu.Kubva pakatanga kukakavara pakati peRussia neUkraine, Turkey yakaburitsa pachena kuti haisi kuzotora chikamu muzvirango zvekuMadokero pamusoro peRussia uye yakachengetedza kutengeserana kwakajairwa neRussia.Pakutanga, mabhanga mashanu eTurkey aishandisa iyo Mir yekubhadhara system, zvichiita kuti zvive nyore kune vashanyi veRussia kubhadhara uye kushandisa mari vachishanyira Turkey.Gurukota rinoona nezvehomwe yeTurkey nezvemari, Ali Naibati, akati vashanyi vekuRussia vakakosha kuhupfumi hweTurkey huri kunetsa.
Mitengo yezvekudya pasi rose ingangoramba ichikwira
Lian Ping, mukuru wezvehupfumi uye director wesangano rekutsvagisa reZhixin Investment, akati gakava riripo pakati peRussia neUkraine rakawedzera mamiriro ekushomeka kwechikafu uye kukwira kwemitengo yechikafu kubva mukugadzira nekutengesa zvinhu.Izvi zviri kuita kuti vanhu vari mune dzimwe nyika, kunyanya munyika dzichiri kusimukira, vave parumananzombe, izvo zvinokanganisa kugadzikana kwevanhu uye kugadzirisa upfumi hwenyika.
VaPutin vakataura kare pamusangano weplenary weChinomwe Eastern Economic Forum kuti zvirambidzo zvekuMadokero zvekutengesa kunze kwezvinhu zvekurima nefotereza kuRussia zvakarerutswa, asi dambudziko iri harina kunyatsogadziriswa, izvo zvakonzera kukwira kwemitengo yezvekudya.Nyika dzepasi rose dzinofanirwa kushanda pamwe chete kumisa kukwira kwemitengo yezvekudya.
Chen Xing, mukuru muongorori weZhongtai Securities, akataura kuti kubva pakatanga gakava pakati peRussia neUkraine, cheni yepasi rose yechikafu yakakanganiswa zvakanyanya, uye mitengo yechikafu chepasi rose yave kukwira.Mitengo yepasi rose yakabva yadzokera kumashure patarisiro yekugadzira zviri nani uye shanduko yekutengeswa kwezviyo kuUkraine.
Asi Chen akasimbisawo kuti kushomeka kwefetereza muEurope kunogona kukanganisa kudyarwa kwezvirimwa zvematsutso sezvo dambudziko regesi reEuropean ririkuenderera mberi.Zvichakadaro, gakava riripo pakati peRussia neUkraine richiri kumanikidza kugadzirwa kwechikafu, uye kuisa kweIndia mutero wekutengesa mupunga kunze kwenyika kuri kutyisidzira zvinhu zvakare.Mitengo yechikafu pasi rose inotarisirwa kuramba ichikwira nekuda kwekukwira kwemitengo yefetereza, gakava reRussia neUkraine uye mitengo yemitengo yekunze kubva kuIndia.
Chen akacherekedza kuti kutengeswa kwezviyo zveUkraine kwadonha zvinopfuura makumi mashanu muzana kubva gore rapfuura zvichitevera kubuda kwegakava reRussia neUkraine.Kutengeswa kwegorosi kuRussia kwakakuvadzwawo zvakanyanya, kudonha nechikamu chechina mumwedzi miviri yekutanga yegore idzva rekurima.Kunyangwe kuvhurwazve kwechiteshi cheGungwa Dzvuku kwakadzoreredza kudzvinyirirwa kwechikafu, gakava riri pakati peRussia neUkraine rinogona kusagadziriswa munguva pfupi, uye mitengo yezvikafu inoramba yakamanikidzwa.
Musika wemafuta une basa rakawanda sei?
Haitong ramangwana rekutsvaga simba director Yang An akati Russia yakazivisa chikamu chekuunganidza kwemauto, geopolitical mamiriro kunze kwekutonga njodzi inowedzera kuwedzera, mitengo yemafuta mushure mekunge nhau dzasimuka.Sechinhu chakakosha chehurongwa, oiri inotarisisa kune izvi, uye musika wakakurumidza kupa geopolitical risk premium, inova yenguva pfupi yemusika kusagadzikana mhinduro.Kana mamiriro acho akashata, zvirango zvekumavirira pamusoro peRussia nesimba rakasimba, uye kudzivirira vatengi veAsia kumafuta eRussia, zvinogona kuita kuti mafuta eRussia asina mafuta ave mashoma pane zvaitarisirwa, izvo zvinounza kumafuta zvinofanirwa kutsigirwa, asi tichifunga nezvemusika wakaitika panguva hafu yekutanga yezvirango zvichipesana neRussia kupihwa kwetarisiro yakawandisa yakazogadziridzwa mumakore ekutanga ekurasikirwa, Mhedzisiro yacho ichada kurondwa sezvo zviitiko zviri kuitika.Pamusoro pezvo, munguva yepakati kusvika kureba, kuwedzera kwehukuru hwehondo chinhu chikuru chakashata kune hupfumi hwenyika, izvo zvisingakodzeri kusimudzira kwakanaka kwemusika.
"Kutengeswa kwemafuta emugungwa kuRussia kwakaderera zvakanyanya muhafu yekutanga yemwedzi uno. Kutakurwa kwemafuta asina kuchena kubva kuzviteshi zvaro kwakaderera nemadhiramu anoda kusvika 900 000 pazuva muvhiki kusvika 16 Gunyana, nemitengo yemafuta ichichinja zvakanyanya panhau dzekuunganidza nezuro. Tiri kukwidza mitengo kuti kudzora inflation yemamiriro ekunze vanofunga kuti mitengo yemafuta icharamba ichidzoreredza iyo yakakosha shanduko yekugovera haichaenderera mberi ichidzikira, senge ikozvino kupihwa kwemafuta asina mafuta muRussia kunyangwe zvinhu zvichichinja, asi kurasikirwa kwacho kushoma, asi kamwe chete kukwira, kunotungamirira kupihwa kwematambudziko aripo, wobva wakwidza mitengo yemubereko munguva pfupi zvichanetsa kudzvanya mitengo."Citic Futures muongorori Yang Jiaming akadaro.
IEurope Inokuvadza muUkraine Kusawirirana?
Mumazuva ekutanga emakakatanwa, masangano mazhinji akafanotaura kuti hupfumi hweRussia huchadzikira ne10% gore rino, asi nyika ikozvino yakamira zviri nani kupfuura zvavaifunga.
GDP yeRussia yakadonha 0.4% muhafu yekutanga ya2022, maererano nedata repamutemo.Zvakakosha kucherechedza kuti Russia yakaona mufananidzo wakasanganiswa wekugadzirwa kwesimba, kusanganisira oiri negesi, kuderera asi mitengo ichikwira, uye rekodhi yazvino account yakawedzera yemadhora mabhiriyoni makumi manomwe nenomwe muchikamu chechipiri, chepamusoro kubva 1994.
Muna Chikunguru, International Monetary Fund yakasimudza fungidziro yeGDP yeRussia gore rino ne2,5 muzana, ichifanotaura kuderera kwe6 muzana.IMF yakacherekedza kuti kunyangwe zvirango zvekuMadokero, Russia yaitaridza kunge ine zvairi kuita uye kuda kwepamba kwakaratidza kusimba.
Aimbove mutungamiriri weGreece, Alexis Tsipras, akatorwa mashoko neEPT achiti Europe ndiyo yaive yakarasikirwa nezvematongerwo enyika kubva mukurwisana kweRussia neUkraine, ukuwo United States haina chayaizorasikirwa nacho.
Makurukota eEnergy eEuropean Union (EU) akaita musangano wechimbichimbi nemusi weMuvhuro kuti vakurukure matanho akakosha ekudzikisa kukwira kwemitengo yemagetsi uye kurerutsa dambudziko remagetsi, akadaro You Ting, mubatsiri wemuongorori kuCarbon Neutral Development Institute yeShanghai Jiao Tong University.Izvi zvinosanganisira windfall profits tax pamakambani emagetsi, chivharo pamarigineti mutengo wemagetsi uye chivharo chemutengo pane gasi rechisikigo reRussia.Zvisinei, kubva pamusangano akazivisa migumisiro yehurukuro, yakambonetseka pamusoro pemutengo wekutengesa gasi reRussia, nekuda kwekusiyana kukuru kwemukati pakati penyika dzenhengo dzakakundikana kusvika pachibvumirano.
Kune EU, kuchengetedza kukakavara uye kugara pamwe chete inzira ine simba yekupona kutonhora, asi nguva yechando ino inogona kunge iri "inotonhora" uye "inodhura zvakanyanya" mumakore achangopfuura mukutarisana nedzvinyiriro inoshanda uye chimiro chakaomarara kurwisa Russia, Yuding akadaro.
Nguva yekutumira: Sep-23-2022