Ku ya 21 Nzeri, ku isaha yaho, Perezida w’Uburusiya Vladimir Putin yatanze ikiganiro kuri videwo, atangaza ko ubukangurambaga bw’igice guhera ku ya 21 Nzeri, anavuga ko Uburusiya buzashyigikira icyemezo cyafashwe n’abatuye mu karere ka Donbas, Perefegitura ya Zaporoge na Perefegitura ya Herson muri referendum.
Ubukangurambaga bwa mbere nyuma y'intambara ya kabiri y'isi yose
Mu ijambo rye, Putin yatangaje ko "abo baturage ari bo bonyine bari mu bigega, cyane cyane abigeze kuba mu gisirikare kandi bafite ubumenyi mu bya gisirikare ndetse n'uburambe mu bijyanye na byo, bazahamagarirwa kujya mu gisirikare" kandi ko "abo bahamagariwe kujya mu gisirikare bagomba gukomeza imyitozo ya gisirikare mbere yo koherezwa mu ngabo. "Minisitiri w’ingabo w’Uburusiya, Sergei Shoigu, yavuze ko hazahamagarwa 300.000 z’abasirikare mu rwego rwo gukangura.Yagaragaje kandi ko Uburusiya butarwana na Ukraine gusa, ahubwo ko burwana n'Uburengerazuba.
Ku wa kabiri, Reuters yatangaje ko Perezida w’Uburusiya Vladimir Putin yatangaje icyemezo cyo gukangurira igice, kikaba ari ubwa mbere ubukangurambaga mu Burusiya kuva Intambara ya Kabiri y'Isi Yose.
Kuri iki cyumweru, referendumu y’abanyamuryango b’Uburusiya
Ibiro ntaramakuru Sputnik byo mu Burusiya byatangaje ko umuyobozi w'akarere ka Luhansk, Mikhail Miroshnichenko, ku cyumweru yavuze ko amatora ya referendumu ku cyifuzo cya Luhansk cyo kwinjira mu Burusiya azaba kuva ku ya 23 kugeza ku ya 27 Nyakanga.Umuyobozi w'akarere ka Donetsk, Alexander Pushilin, yatangaje kuri uwo munsi ko Donetsk na Luhansk bazakora referendum yo kwinjira mu Burusiya icyarimwe.Usibye akarere ka Donbass, abayobozi b'ubuyobozi bw'akarere ka Hershon na Zaporoge bashyigikiye Uburusiya na bo batangaje ku ya 20 Mata ko bazakora referendum ku banyamuryango b'Uburusiya kuva ku ya 23 kugeza ku ya 27 Mata.
Ku cyumweru, umuyobozi wungirije w'akanama gashinzwe umutekano mu Burusiya, Dmitry Medvedev yagize ati: "Amatora ya referendumu akwiye kubera mu karere ka Donbass, atari ngombwa mu kurengera abaturage kuri gahunda gusa ahubwo no mu kugarura ubutabera bw'amateka." .Mugihe habaye igitero kiziguye ku butaka bw’Uburusiya, Uburusiya buzashobora gukoresha imbaraga zabwo zose kugira ngo bwirwaneho.Niyo mpamvu aya matora ateye ubwoba kuri Kiev n'Uburengerazuba. "
Ni izihe ngaruka zizaza z'aya makimbirane yiyongera ku bukungu bw'isi n'ubucuruzi mpuzamahanga?
Kwimuka gushya kumasoko yifaranga
Ku ya 20 Nzeri, amasoko y’imigabane itatu yose yo mu Burayi yagabanutse, isoko ry’imigabane mu Burusiya ryaragurishijwe cyane.Umunsi wongeyeho amakimbirane yo muri Ukraine ajyanye namakuru yasohotse, ku rugero runaka, yagize ingaruka ku myumvire y'abashoramari b'Abarusiya.
Ubucuruzi bw’ama pound yo mu Bwongereza buzahagarikwa ku isoko ry’ivunjisha ry’i Moscou guhera ku ya 3 Ukwakira 2022, nk'uko byatangajwe n’ivunjisha ry’i Moscou mu itangazo ryatangaje ku wa mbere.Ihagarikwa ririmo gucuruza no kuvunja ibicuruzwa bya Pound-ruble hamwe na pound-dollar hamwe nubucuruzi bwimbere.
Ihanahana ry'i Moscou ryagaragaje ingaruka n'ingorane zo gukuraho sterling nk'impamvu yo guhagarikwa.Ibikorwa byarangiye mbere nibikorwa byafunzwe mbere kandi harimo 30 Nzeri 2022 bizakorwa muburyo busanzwe.
Ivunjisha rya Moscou yavuze ko rikorana n'amabanki kugira ngo ryongere ubucuruzi mu gihe cyo gutangazwa.
Mbere y’inama rusange y’ubukungu ya BBS ya Bwana Putin mu burasirazuba, yavuze ko Amerika ikurikirana inyungu zabo bwite, ko itazigera igarukira, kugira ngo igere ku ntego zabo itazaterwa isoni n'ikintu icyo ari cyo cyose, Amerika yasenye umusingi w’ubukungu bw’isi gutumiza, amadolari na pound byatakaje ikizere, Uburusiya bugomba kureka kubikoresha.
Mubyukuri, ifaranga ryarushijeho gukomera kuva ryatangira gukomera mu minsi ya mbere y’amakimbirane none rikaba rihagaze kuri 60 kugeza ku madorari.
Peng Wensheng, impuguke mu by'ubukungu muri CICC, yagaragaje ko impamvu nyamukuru yatumye ifaranga ryishimira isoko ari umwanya w’Uburusiya nk’umusaruro w’ingufu n’ibyohereza ibicuruzwa mu mahanga bitewe n’uko agaciro k’umutungo nyawo wiyongereye.Uburambe bwa vuba bw’Uburusiya bwerekana ko mu rwego rwo kurwanya isi no kwishyira ukizana, akamaro k’umutungo utimukanwa kiyongera, kandi uruhare rw’ibicuruzwa ku ifaranga ry’igihugu rukaziyongera.
Amabanki yo muri Turukiya yaretse uburyo bwo kwishyura mu Burusiya
Mu rwego rwo kwirinda kugira uruhare mu makimbirane y’amafaranga hagati y’Uburusiya n’ibihugu by’iburengerazuba, Banki y’inganda ya Turukiya na Banki ya Deniz batangaje ku ya 19 Nzeri ko bazahagarika ikoreshwa rya sisitemu yo kwishyura Mir yo mu Burusiya, nk'uko CCTV News n’ibitangazamakuru byo muri Turukiya byatangaje ku ya 20 Nzeri, ku isaha yaho .
Sisitemu yo kwishyura "Mir" ni uburyo bwo kwishyura no gukuraho bwatangijwe na Banki Nkuru y’Uburusiya mu 2014, bushobora gukoreshwa mu bihugu byinshi n’uturere twinshi.Kuva amakimbirane hagati y’Uburusiya na Ukraine yatangira, Turukiya yasobanuye neza ko itazitabira ibihano by’iburengerazuba byafatiwe Uburusiya kandi ko byakomeje ubucuruzi busanzwe n’Uburusiya.Mbere, banki eshanu zo muri Turukiya zakoreshaga uburyo bwo kwishyura Mir, bigatuma byoroha ba mukerarugendo b’Uburusiya kwishyura no gukoresha amafaranga mu gihe basuye Turukiya.Minisitiri w’imari n’imari wa Turukiya, Ali Naibati, yatangaje ko ba mukerarugendo b’Uburusiya ari ingenzi mu bukungu bwa Turukiya bugoye.
Ibiciro byibiribwa ku isi birashoboka ko bizakomeza kwiyongera
Lian Ping, impuguke mu by'ubukungu akaba n’umuyobozi w’ikigo cy’ubushakashatsi cy’ishoramari rya Zhixin, yavuze ko amakimbirane hagati y’Uburusiya na Ukraine yarushijeho kuba ikibazo cy’ibura ry’ibiribwa ndetse n’izamuka ry’ibiciro by’ibiribwa haba mu bicuruzwa ndetse n’ubucuruzi.Kubera iyo mpamvu, abantu mu bice bimwe na bimwe by’isi, cyane cyane mu bihugu biri mu nzira y'amajyambere, bari mu nzara, ibyo bikaba bigira ingaruka ku mibereho myiza y’abaturage no kuzamuka mu bukungu.
Bwana Putin yavuze mbere mu nama rusange y’ihuriro rya karindwi ry’ubukungu bw’iburasirazuba yavuze ko ibihugu by’iburengerazuba bibuza kohereza ibicuruzwa by’ubuhinzi n’ifumbire mu Burusiya byoroheje, ariko ikibazo nticyakemutse burundu, bituma ibiciro by’ibiribwa bizamuka.Umuryango mpuzamahanga ugomba gufatanya guhagarika izamuka ry’ibiciro by’ibiribwa.
Chen Xing, ushinzwe gusesengura macro muri Zhongtai Securities, yagaragaje ko kuva amakimbirane yatangira hagati y’Uburusiya na Ukraine, urwego rw’ibiribwa ku isi rwagize ingaruka zikomeye ku buryo ibiciro by’ibiribwa mpuzamahanga byazamutse.Ibiciro mpuzamahanga noneho byagabanutse ku byifuzo by’umusaruro mwiza ndetse no guhindura ibicuruzwa byo muri Ukraine byohereza mu mahanga.
Ariko Chen yashimangiye kandi ko ikibazo cy’ifumbire mvaruganda mu Burayi gishobora kugira ingaruka ku guhinga imyaka y’impeshyi mu gihe ikibazo cy’iburayi gikomeje.Hagati aho, amakimbirane hagati y’Uburusiya na Ukraine aracyafite imbogamizi ku musaruro w’ibiribwa, kandi Ubuhinde bwashyizeho imisoro ku bicuruzwa byoherezwa mu mahanga by’umuceri byongeye kubangamira ibicuruzwa.Biteganijwe ko ibiciro by’ibiribwa mpuzamahanga bizakomeza kwiyongera kubera ibiciro by’ifumbire mvaruganda, amakimbirane y’Uburusiya na Ukraine ndetse n’amahoro yoherezwa mu Buhinde.
Chen yavuze ko muri Ukraine ibicuruzwa byoherezwa mu mahanga byagabanutse hejuru ya 50% ugereranyije n'umwaka ushize nyuma y’intambara y’Uburusiya na Ukraine.Uburusiya bwohereza mu mahanga ingano na bwo bwangiritse cyane, bugabanuka hafi kimwe cya kane mu mezi abiri ya mbere y'umwaka mushya w'ubuhinzi.Nubwo gufungura icyambu cy'Inyanja Yirabura byagabanije umuvuduko w'ibiribwa, amakimbirane hagati y'Uburusiya na Ukraine ntashobora gukemurwa mu gihe gito, kandi ibiciro by'ibiribwa bikomeje kuba igitutu kinini.
Isoko rya peteroli rifite agaciro kangana iki?
Umuyobozi ushinzwe ubushakashatsi ku bijyanye n’ingufu za Haitong, Yang An yavuze ko Uburusiya bwatangaje igice cy’ubukangurambaga bwa gisirikare, imiterere ya geopolitike kubera ingaruka z’ubugenzuzi bukomeza kwiyongera, ibiciro bya peteroli nyuma y’amakuru akimara kumenyekana.Nkibikoresho byingenzi byingenzi, peteroli irabyumva cyane, kandi isoko yahise itanga igihembo cya geopolitiki, nicyo gisubizo cyigihe gito cyamasoko.Niba ibintu byifashe nabi, ibihano by’iburengerazuba byafatiwe Uburusiya kubera ingufu zikomeye, kandi bikabuza abaguzi bo muri Aziya ku mavuta y’Uburusiya, bishobora gutuma Uburusiya butanga peteroli ya peteroli bitarenze uko byari byitezwe, bizana peteroli bigomba gushyigikirwa, ariko urebye isoko ryabayeho mu gihe cya igice cya mbere cy’ibihano byafatiwe Uburusiya ku byifuzo byinshi byahinduwe nyuma mu myaka ya mbere y’igihombo, Ingaruka zizakurikiranwa uko ibintu bizagenda.Byongeye kandi, mu gihe giciriritse cyangwa kirekire, kwaguka kw’intambara ni bibi cyane ku bukungu bw’isi, bidafasha iterambere ry’isoko ryiza.
"Uburusiya bwoherezwa mu mahanga peteroli ya peteroli yo mu nyanja yagabanutse cyane mu gice cya mbere cy'uku kwezi. Ibicuruzwa biva mu byambu byayo byagabanutseho hafi 900.000 ku munsi mu cyumweru kugeza ku ya 16 Nzeri, aho ibiciro bya peteroli byahindutse cyane ku makuru y’ubukangurambaga ejo. Turimo kuzamura ibiciro kuri kugabanya ifaranga ry’ifaranga ryibwira ko ibiciro bya peteroli bizakomeza gusubiza inyuma impinduka z’ibanze zitangwa bitagikomeza kwangirika, nk’itangwa rya peteroli ya peteroli muri iki gihe mu Burusiya nubwo ibikoresho bihinduka, ariko igihombo kikaba gito, ariko iyo kwiyongera, biganisha ku itangwa ry'ibibazo bihari, hanyuma uzamure igipimo cy'inyungu mu gihe gito bizagorana guhagarika ibiciro. "Umusesenguzi wa Citic Futures Yang Jiaming yavuze.
Uburayi bwababajwe muri Ukraine?
Mu minsi ya mbere y’amakimbirane, ibigo byinshi byahanuye ko ubukungu bw’Uburusiya buzagabanukaho 10% muri uyu mwaka, ariko ubu igihugu kikaba cyifashe neza kuruta uko babitekerezaga.
Umusaruro rusange w’Uburusiya wagabanutseho 0.4% mu gice cya mbere cya 2022, nk’uko imibare yemewe ibigaragaza.Twabibutsa ko Uburusiya bwabonye ishusho ivanze y’umusaruro w’ingufu, harimo peteroli na gaze, kugabanuka ariko ibiciro bikazamuka, ndetse n’ikigereranyo cy’amafaranga arenga miliyari 70.1 z'amadolari mu gihembwe cya kabiri, kikaba ari cyo kinini kuva mu 1994.
Muri Nyakanga, Ikigega Mpuzamahanga cy'Imari cyazamuye igipimo cy’umusaruro rusange w’Uburusiya muri uyu mwaka ku ijanisha rya 2,5 ku ijana, kivuga ko igabanuka rya 6%.IMF yavuze ko nubwo ibihugu by’iburengerazuba byafatiriwe ibihano, Uburusiya busa nkaho bwagize ingaruka kandi ibyifuzo by’imbere mu gihugu byagaragaje ko bihanganye.
Uwahoze ari Minisitiri w’intebe w’Ubugereki, Alexis Tsipras, yasubiwemo na EPT avuga ko Uburayi bwagize igihombo kinini cya geopolitiki mu ntambara yo mu Burusiya na Ukraine, mu gihe Amerika ntacyo yatakaje.
Kuri uyu wa mbere, minisitiri w’ingufu w’umuryango w’ubumwe bw’ibihugu by’Uburayi (EU) yagiranye inama yihutirwa kugira ngo baganire ku ngamba zidasanzwe zo gukumira ibiciro by’ingufu ziyongera no koroshya ikibazo cy’ingufu zitangwa n’ingufu, nk'uko byatangajwe na You Ting, umushakashatsi wungirije mu kigo cy’iterambere rya Carbone Neutral Institute of Shanghai Jiao Tong University.Muri byo harimo umusoro ku nyungu z’amasosiyete y’ingufu, igipimo cy’ibiciro by’ibiciro by’amashanyarazi n’igiciro cya gaze gasanzwe y’Uburusiya.Icyakora, mu nama yatangaje ibyavuye mu biganiro, mbere byari bihangayikishijwe n’igiciro cy’ibiciro bya gaze y’Uburusiya, kubera itandukaniro rinini ry’imbere mu bihugu bigize uyu muryango ntibyashoboye kumvikana.
Ku Muryango w’ubumwe bw’ibihugu by’Uburayi, gukemura amakimbirane no kuguma hamwe ni inzira ikomeye yo kurokoka imbeho, ariko iyi mbeho ishobora kuba "ubukonje" kandi "buhenze cyane" mu myaka yashize bitewe n’igitutu gifatika ndetse n’imyifatire ikaze irwanya Uburusiya, Yuding ati.
Igihe cyo kohereza: Nzeri-23-2022