Mkangano wa Russia ndi Ukraine ukuwopa kukulirakulira!Kugwedezeka kwinanso kwa kugwedezeka kwa msika ku malonda apadziko lonse kukubwera!

Pa Seputembara 21, nthawi yakomweko, Purezidenti waku Russia Vladimir Putin adapereka adilesi ya kanema, kulengeza za kulimbikitsa pang'ono kuchokera pa Seputembara 21, ndikuti Russia ithandizira chigamulo chomwe anthu okhala mdera la Donbas, Zaporoge Prefecture ndi Herson Prefecture pa referendum.

Kulimbikitsana koyamba pambuyo pa Nkhondo Yadziko II

M'mawu ake, a Putin adalengeza kuti "nzika zokhazo zomwe pakadali pano zili m'malo osungirako zida, koposa onse omwe adagwirapo ntchito zankhondo ndipo ali ndi ukatswiri wina wankhondo komanso chidziwitso chofunikira, adzaitanidwa kukamenya nkhondo" ndikuti "iwo aitanidwa kukamenya nawo usilikali akuyenera kuphunzitsidwanso zankhondo asanatumizidwe kunkhondo."Unduna wa Zachitetezo ku Russia Sergei Shoigu adati osungitsa 300,000 adzayitanitsidwa ngati gawo lolimbikitsa.Ananenanso kuti Russia sikuti ikumenyana ndi Ukraine, komanso ndi Kumadzulo.

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Reuters idanenanso Lachiwiri kuti Purezidenti waku Russia Vladimir Putin adalengeza za kusonkhanitsa pang'ono, komwe ndi koyamba kusonkhanitsa ku Russia kuyambira Nkhondo Yachiwiri Yapadziko Lonse.

Referendumu ya umembala wa Russia idachitika sabata ino

Mtsogoleri wa dera la Luhansk Mikhail Miroshnichenko adanena Lamlungu kuti referendum ya Luhansk kuti alowe nawo ku Russia idzachitika kuyambira July 23 mpaka 27, bungwe la nyuzipepala ya ku Russia la Sputnik linati.Mtsogoleri wa dera la Donetsk, Alexander Pushilin, adalengeza tsiku lomwelo kuti Donetsk ndi Luhansk adzachita referendum yogwirizana ndi Russia nthawi yomweyo.Kuphatikiza pa dera la Donbass, akuluakulu oyang'anira zigawo za Pro-Russian Hershon ndi Zaporoge adalengezanso pa April 20 kuti adzachita referendum pa umembala wa Russia kuyambira 23 mpaka 27 April.

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"Referendum iyenera kuchitika m'chigawo cha Donbass, chomwe chili chofunikira osati kungoteteza mwadongosolo anthu komanso kubwezeretsa chilungamo chambiri," adatero Dmitry Medvedev, wachiwiri kwa wapampando wa Security Council of the Russian Federation, Lamlungu. .Pakachitika kuukira mwachindunji dera la Russia, Russia idzatha kugwiritsa ntchito mphamvu zake zonse kudziteteza.Ichi ndichifukwa chake ma referendum ndi owopsa ku Kiev ndi Kumadzulo. "

Kodi tsogolo la mkangano womwe ukukulawu pa chuma cha padziko lonse ndi malonda a mayiko zikhala zotani?

Kusuntha kwatsopano m'misika yandalama

Pa Seputembala 20, misika yonse yayikulu itatu yaku Europe idagwa, msika waku Russia udagulitsidwa kwambiri.Tsiku lochulukirapo komanso mikangano yaku Ukraine yokhudzana ndi nkhaniyo idatuluka, pamlingo wina, idakhudzanso malingaliro a osunga ndalama aku Russia.

Kugulitsa pa mapaundi aku Britain kuyimitsidwa pamsika wosinthira ndalama zakunja wa Moscow Exchange kuyambira Okutobala 3, 2022, a Moscow Exchange idatero m'mawu ake Lolemba.Kuyimitsidwa kumaphatikizapo kusinthanitsa ndi kusinthanitsa ndi malonda a Pound-ruble ndi malo a dollar ndi malonda amtsogolo.

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Kusinthana kwa Moscow kunatchula zoopsa zomwe zingakhalepo komanso zovuta pakuchotsa sterling monga chifukwa chakuyimitsidwa.Zochita zomwe zidamalizidwa m'mbuyomu zomwe ziyenera kutsekedwa zisanachitike komanso kuphatikiza pa Seputembara 30, 2022 zichitika mwanjira yanthawi zonse.

Kusinthana kwa Moscow kunanena kuti ikugwira ntchito ndi mabanki kuti ayambirenso malonda panthawi yomwe adzalengezedwa.

M'mbuyomu, Mr Putin a zachuma BBS plenary msonkhano kum'mawa, wati United States kutsata zofuna zawo, osadziletsa, kuti akwaniritse zolinga zawo sadzachita manyazi ndi chirichonse, United States anawononga maziko a zachuma padziko lonse. dongosolo, dola ndi mapaundi zataya kukhulupirika, Russia isiya kuzigwiritsa ntchito.

M'malo mwake, ruble yalimba kuyambira pomwe idagwa m'masiku oyambilira a mkangano ndipo tsopano yakhazikika pa 60 mpaka dola.

 Peng Wensheng, katswiri wazachuma wa CICC, adanenanso kuti chifukwa chachikulu chomwe ruble likuyamikirira pamsika ndi momwe dziko la Russia limapangira mphamvu zopangira mphamvu komanso kutumiza kunja potengera kuchuluka kwazinthu zenizeni.Zomwe zachitika posachedwa ku Russia zikuwonetsa kuti pankhani yotsutsana ndi kufalikira kwa dziko lonse lapansi ndi definancialization, kufunikira kwa chuma chenicheni kumawonjezeka, ndipo gawo lothandizira lazinthu zandalama za dziko lidzawonjezeka.

Mabanki aku Turkey amasiya njira yolipirira yaku Russia

Pofuna kupewa kutenga nawo mbali mkangano wachuma pakati pa Russia ndi mayiko akumadzulo, Banki Yamafakitale ya Turkey ndi Deniz Bank idalengeza pa Seputembara 19 kuti ayimitsa kugwiritsa ntchito makina olipira a Mir ku Russia, CCTV News ndi atolankhani aku Turkey adanenanso pa Seputembara 20, nthawi yakomweko. .

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Njira yolipirira "Mir" ndi njira yolipira ndi yoyeretsa yomwe idakhazikitsidwa ndi Banki Yaikulu ya Russia mu 2014, yomwe ingagwiritsidwe ntchito m'maiko ambiri akunja ndi madera.Chiyambireni mkangano pakati pa Russia ndi Ukraine, dziko la Turkey lanena momveka bwino kuti silidzachita nawo zilango zakumadzulo kwa Russia ndipo lakhala likuchita malonda ndi Russia.M'mbuyomu, mabanki asanu aku Turkey adagwiritsa ntchito njira yolipira ya Mir, zomwe zimapangitsa kuti alendo aku Russia azilipira ndikugwiritsa ntchito ndalama akamayendera Turkey.Nduna ya Zachuma ndi Zachuma ku Turkey Ali Naibati wati alendo aku Russia ndi ofunikira kwambiri pachuma cha Turkey chomwe chikuvutikira.

Mitengo yazakudya padziko lonse ikuyenera kukwera

Lian Ping, katswiri wazachuma komanso director of the Research Institute of Zhixin Investment, adati mkangano womwe ulipo pakati pa Russia ndi Ukraine udakulitsa vuto la kusowa kwa chakudya komanso kukwera kwamitengo yazakudya kuchokera pazopanga komanso zamalonda.Chotsatira chake n’chakuti anthu m’madera ena a dziko, makamaka m’mayiko amene akutukuka kumene, atsala pang’ono kugwa njala, imene imakhudza kukhazikika kwa chikhalidwe cha anthu m’deralo ndi kuyambiranso kwachuma.

A Putin adanenapo m'mbuyomu pamsonkhano wachisanu ndi chiwiri wa Eastern Economic Forum kuti zoletsa zaku Western zotumiza katundu waulimi ndi feteleza kupita ku Russia zidachepetsedwa, koma vutoli silinatheretu, zomwe zidapangitsa kukwera kwamitengo yazakudya.Mayiko a mayiko akuyenera kugwirira ntchito limodzi kuti aletse kukwera kwa mitengo yazakudya.

Chen Xing, katswiri wamkulu wa Zhongtai Securities, adanena kuti chiyambireni mkangano pakati pa Russia ndi Ukraine, njira yopezera chakudya padziko lonse yakhudzidwa kwambiri, ndipo mitengo yazakudya padziko lonse yakhala ikukwera.Mitengo yapadziko lonse lapansi idatsikanso paziyembekezo zabwinoko zopanga komanso kusintha kwambewu zaku Ukraine zogulitsa kunja.

Koma Chen adatsindikanso kuti kusowa kwa feteleza ku Ulaya kungakhudze kubzala mbewu za autumn pamene vuto la gasi ku Ulaya likupitirirabe.Pakadali pano, mkangano pakati pa Russia ndi Ukraine ukulepheretsa kupanga chakudya, ndipo kuyika kwa India pamitengo yotumizira mpunga kunja kukuwopsezanso katundu.Mitengo yazakudya zapadziko lonse lapansi ikuyembekezeka kukwera chifukwa cha kukwera mitengo ya feteleza, mikangano ya Russia ndi Ukraine komanso mitengo yotumizira kunja kuchokera ku India.

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Chen adanenanso kuti zogulitsa kunja kwa tirigu ku Ukraine zatsika kuposa 50 peresenti kuyambira chaka chatha pambuyo pa kufalikira kwa mkangano wa Russia-Ukraine.Kugulitsa tirigu ku Russia kunja kwawonongekanso kwambiri, kutsika pafupifupi kotala m'miyezi iwiri yoyambirira ya chaka chatsopano chaulimi.Ngakhale kutsegulidwanso kwa doko la Black Sea kwachepetsa kupsinjika kwa chakudya, mkangano pakati pa Russia ndi Ukraine sungathe kuthetsedwa kwakanthawi kochepa, ndipo mitengo yazakudya imakhalabe yolimba.

Kodi msika wamafuta ndi wofunika bwanji?

Woyang'anira kafukufuku wamagetsi a Haitong a Yang An adati Russia idalengeza gawo la gulu lankhondo, zomwe zidachitika chifukwa cha kuwongolera ziwopsezo zikuwonjezeka, mitengo yamafuta pambuyo poti nkhaniyo idakwera.Monga chinthu chofunika kwambiri, mafuta amakhudzidwa kwambiri ndi izi, ndipo msika mwamsanga unapereka chiopsezo cha geopolitical premium, chomwe ndi kuyankha kwanthawi yochepa kwa msika.Ngati zinthu ziipiraipira, zilango zakumadzulo motsutsana ndi Russia chifukwa champhamvu kwambiri, ndikuletsa ogula aku Asia kumafuta aku Russia, zitha kupangitsa kuti mafuta amafuta aku Russia akhale ochepa kuposa momwe amayembekezera, zomwe zimabweretsa mafutawo ziyenera kuthandizidwa, koma poganizira msika wakumana nawo panthawi yamavuto. theka loyamba la zilango zotsutsana ndi Russia zoyembekeza mopitilira muyeso zidasinthidwa pambuyo pake zaka zoyambilira za kutayika, Zotsatirazi ziyenera kutsatiridwa momwe zinthu zikuyendera.Kuphatikiza apo, m'zaka zapakati mpaka nthawi yayitali, kukulirakulira kwa nkhondo ndizovuta kwambiri pachuma chapadziko lonse lapansi, zomwe sizikuthandizira kukula bwino kwa msika.

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"Kutumiza kwamafuta osakanizika ku Russia kumayiko akunja kudatsika kwambiri m'gawo loyamba la mwezi uno. Kutumiza kwamafuta kuchokera kumadoko ake kudatsika ndi migolo pafupifupi 900,000 patsiku kuyambira mlungu mpaka Seputembara 16, mitengo yamafuta idakwera kwambiri pankhani yolimbikitsa dzulo. Tikukweza mitengo kuti ikhale Kuchepetsa kukwera kwa inflation kuganiza kuti mitengo yamafuta ipitiliza kubweza zosintha zazikuluzikulu zomwe zimaperekedwa sizikupitilirabe kuipiraipira, monga momwe mafuta amafuta aku Russia amakhalira, ngakhale kuti zinthu zikusintha, koma kutayikako kumakhala kochepa, koma kukwera kwake kumabweretsa kupezeka kwa mavuto omwe alipo, ndiye kukweza chiwongoladzanja pakanthawi kochepa kudzakhala kovuta kupondereza mitengo."Katswiri wa Citic Futures a Yang Jiaming adati.

Kodi Europe Ikupwetekedwa Pamkangano waku Ukraine?

Kumayambiriro kwa mkangano, mabungwe ambiri adaneneratu kuti chuma cha Russia chidzatsika ndi 10% chaka chino, koma dziko lino likugwira bwino kuposa momwe amaganizira.

GDP yaku Russia idatsika ndi 0,4% mu theka loyamba la 2022, malinga ndi data yovomerezeka.Ndizofunikira kudziwa kuti Russia yawona chithunzi chosakanikirana cha kupanga mphamvu, kuphatikiza mafuta ndi gasi, kuchepa koma mitengo ikukwera, komanso mbiri yaposachedwa ya $ 70.1 biliyoni mgawo lachiwiri, apamwamba kwambiri kuyambira 1994.

Mu Julayi, International Monetary Fund idakweza GDP yake ku Russia chaka chino ndi 2.5 peresenti, kuneneratu kutsika kwa 6 peresenti.IMF idawona kuti ngakhale mayiko aku Western alangidwa, dziko la Russia likuwoneka kuti lili ndi zotsatira zake ndipo zofuna zapakhomo zawonetsa kulimba mtima.

Prime Minister wakale waku Greece Alexis Tsipras adanenedwa ndi EPT kuti Europe idataya kwambiri mkangano wa Russia-Ukraine, pomwe United States idataya chilichonse.

Atumiki amphamvu a European Union (EU) adachita msonkhano wadzidzidzi Lolemba kuti akambirane njira zapadera zochepetsera kukwera mtengo kwa magetsi ndikuchepetsa vuto lamagetsi, atero a You Ting, wothandizira ofufuza pa Carbon Neutral Development Institute ya Shanghai Jiao Tong University.Izi zikuphatikiza msonkho wa phindu lamakampani opanga magetsi, chiwongola dzanja pamitengo yotsika mtengo yamagetsi komanso mtengo wamafuta achilengedwe aku Russia.Komabe, kuchokera pamsonkhanowo adalengeza zotsatira za zokambiranazo, zomwe poyamba zinkakhudzidwa ndi malire a mtengo wa gasi waku Russia, chifukwa cha kusiyana kwakukulu kwapakati pakati pa mayiko omwe ali mamembala alephera kukwaniritsa mgwirizano.

Kwa EU, kusungitsa mikangano ndikukhala pamodzi ndi njira yamphamvu yopulumutsira kuzizira, koma nyengo yozizirayi ikuyenera kukhala "yozizira kwambiri" komanso "yokwera mtengo kwambiri" m'zaka zaposachedwa pokumana ndi zovuta zenizeni komanso kulimba mtima ku Russia, Yuding adati.


Nthawi yotumiza: Sep-23-2022