Na Septemba 21, oge mpaghara, Onye isi ala Russia Vladimir Putin nyere adreesị vidiyo, na-ekwupụta mkpokọta akụkụ site na Septemba 21, na-ekwu na Russia ga-akwado mkpebi nke ndị bi na mpaghara Donbas, Zaporoge Prefecture na Herson Prefecture mere na referendum.
Mkpọkọta mbụ mgbe Agha Ụwa nke Abụọ gasịrị
N'okwu ya, Putin kwuputara na "naanị ụmụ amaala ndị nọ ugbu a na nchekwa, karịa ndị niile jere ozi na ndị agha na ndị nwere ụfọdụ ọkachamara agha na ahụmahụ dị mkpa, ka a ga-akpọ maka ọrụ agha" na "ndị ahụ a na-akpọ maka ọrụ agha ga-enwerịrị ọzụzụ agha ọzọ tupu ebuga ya na ndị agha."Minista nchekwa Russia Sergei Shoigu kwuru na a ga-akpọ ndị nchekwa 300,000 dịka akụkụ nke mkpokọta.O gosikwara na ọ bụghị nanị na Russia na-ebuso Ukraine agha, kamakwa na West.
Reuters kọrọ na Tuzdee na Onye isi ala Russia Vladimir Putin kwupụtara usoro mkpokọta akụkụ, nke bụ mkpokọta mbụ na Russia kemgbe Agha IIwa nke Abụọ.
A na-eme ntuli aka maka ndị otu Rọshịa n'izu a
Onye ndu mpaghara Luhansk Mikhail Miroshnichenko kwuru na Sọnde na a ga-eme ntuli aka na ntuli aka Luhansk ịbanye na Russia site na Julaị 23 ruo 27, ụlọ ọrụ mgbasa ozi Sputnik nke Russia kwuru.Onye ndu mpaghara Donetsk Alexander Pushilin kwupụtara n'otu ụbọchị ahụ na Donetsk na Luhansk ga-eme ntuli aka maka ịbanye Russia n'otu oge.Na mgbakwunye na mpaghara Donbass, ndị ọrụ nchịkwa nke mpaghara Pro-Russian Hershon na Zaporoge kwupụtakwara na Eprel 20 na ha ga-eme ntuli aka na ndị otu Russia site na Eprel 23 ruo 27.
"Ekwesịrị ịme ntuli aka na mpaghara Donbass, nke dị mkpa ọ bụghị naanị maka nchebe usoro nke ndị bi na ya kamakwa maka iweghachi ikpe ziri ezi nke akụkọ ihe mere eme," Dmitry Medvedev, osote onyeisi oche nke Security Council nke Russian Federation, kwuru na Sunday. .Ọ bụrụ na a wakpoo ókèala Russia ozugbo, Russia ga-enwe ike iji ike ya niile chebe onwe ya.Ọ bụ ya mere ntuli aka ndị a ji atụ egwu Kiev na West."
Kedu ihe ga-abụ mmetụta n'ọdịnihu nke esemokwu a na-arịwanye elu na akụ na ụba ụwa na azụmahịa mba ụwa?
Ntugharị ọhụrụ na ahịa ego
Na Septemba 20, nnukwu ahịa ahịa ahịa atọ niile dị na Europe dara, ahịa ngwaahịa Russia nwere oke ire ere.Ụbọchị ọzọ na Ukraine esemokwu metụtara ozi ọma wee pụta, ruo n'ókè ụfọdụ, emetụta ọnọdụ nke Russian ngwaahịa investors.
A ga-akwụsịtụ ịzụ ahịa na paụnd Britain n'ahịa mgbanwe mgbanwe nke Moscow Exchange site na Ọktọba 3, 2022, Moscow Exchange kwuru na nkwupụta mbubreyo Mọnde.Nkwusioru ahụ gụnyere mgbanwe mgbanwe na mgbanwe mgbanwe nke Pound-ruble na ntụpọ dollar-dollar na azụmaahịa na-aga n'ihu.
Mgbanwe nke Moscow zoro aka na ihe ize ndụ na ihe isi ike nwere ike ikpochapụ sterling dị ka ihe kpatara nkwụsị ahụ.Azụmahịa na azụmahịa emechiri na mbụ ga-emechi tupu yana gụnyere Septemba 30, 2022 ka a ga-egbu n'ụzọ kwesịrị ekwesị.
Mgbanwe nke Moscow kwuru na ya na ụlọ akụ na-arụkọ ọrụ iji maliteghachi azụmaahịa n'oge a ga-ekwupụta.
Na mbụ, Mr Putin's aku na uba BBS plenary nnọkọ n'ebe ọwụwa anyanwụ, kwuru na United States na-achụso ọdịmma onwe ha, ọ dịghị mgbe na-amachi onwe gị, iji nweta ihe mgbaru ọsọ ha agaghị eme ihere ihe ọ bụla, United States bibiri ntọala nke akụ na ụba ụwa. ịtụ, dollar na paụnd enwekwaghị ntụkwasị obi, Russia ga-akwụsị iji ha.
N'ezie, ruble siri ike kemgbe ọ dara n'oge mmalite nke esemokwu ahụ ma ugbu a kwụsiri ike na 60 na dollar.
Peng Wensheng, onye isi akụ na ụba nke CICC, rụtụrụ aka na isi ihe kpatara ekele ruble megide ahịa bụ ọnọdụ Russia dị ka onye na-emepụta ike dị mkpa na onye na-ebupụ ike megide ndabere nke mmụba dị ukwuu nke ezigbo akụ.Ahụmahụ nke Russia n'oge na-adịbeghị anya na-egosi na n'ihe gbasara mgbochi ụwa na ịwepu ego, mkpa nke ezigbo akụ na-abawanye, na ọrụ nkwado nke ngwa ahịa maka ego mba ga-abawanye.
Ndị ụlọ akụ Turkey hapụrụ usoro ịkwụ ụgwọ Russia
Iji zere itinye aka na esemokwu ego dị n'etiti Russia na mba ndị dị n'Ebe Ọdịda Anyanwụ, Turkey's Industrial Bank na Deniz Bank kwupụtara na September 19 na ha ga-akwụsịtụ iji usoro ịkwụ ụgwọ Mir nke Russia, CCTV News na Turkish media kọrọ na September 20, oge mpaghara. .
Usoro ịkwụ ụgwọ "Mir" bụ usoro ịkwụ ụgwọ na ikpochapụ nke Central Bank of Russia malitere na 2014, nke a pụrụ iji mee ihe n'ọtụtụ mba na mpaghara mba ọzọ.Ebe ọ bụ na esemokwu dị n'etiti Russia na Ukraine malitere, Turkey mere ka o doo anya na ọ gaghị esonye na mmachi Western megide Russia ma nọgide na-azụ ahịa nkịtị na Russia.Na mbụ, ụlọ akụ Turkey ise na-eji usoro ịkwụ ụgwọ Mir, na-eme ka ọ dịrị ndị njem nleta Russia mfe ịkwụ ụgwọ na imefu ego mgbe ha na-eleta Turkey.Minista na-ahụ maka ego na ego nke Turkey Ali Naibati ekwuola na ndị njem nlegharị anya Russia dị mkpa maka akụ na ụba Turkey na-agbasi mbọ ike.
Ọnụ ahịa nri zuru ụwa ọnụ nwere ike ịga n'ihu na-arị elu
Lian Ping, onye isi akụ na ụba na onye isi ụlọ ọrụ nyocha nke Zhixin Investment, kwuru na esemokwu dị n'etiti Russia na Ukraine mere ka ọnọdụ ụkọ nri ka njọ na ọnụ ahịa nri na-arị elu site na akụkụ mmepụta na azụmaahịa.N'ihi ya, ndị mmadụ n'akụkụ ụfọdụ nke ụwa, karịsịa na mba ndị ka na-emepe emepe, nọ n'ọnụ ọnụ nke ụnwụ nri, nke na-emetụta nkwụsi ike nke ọha mmadụ na mgbake akụ na ụba.
Mazị Putin kwuru na mbụ na nnọkọ ọgbakọ nke asaa nke Eastern Economic Forum na ebelatala mmachi ndị ọdịda anyanwụ na mbupụ ngwaahịa ugbo na fatịlaịza na Russia, mana edozibeghị nsogbu ahụ kpamkpam, butere ịrị elu ọnụ ahịa nri.Mba mba ụwa kwesịrị ịgbakọ aka kwụsị ọnụ ahịa nri.
Chen Xing, onye isi nyocha macro nke Zhongtai Securities, rụtụrụ aka na kemgbe ntiwapụ nke esemokwu dị n'etiti Russia na Ukraine, usoro inye nri zuru ụwa ọnụ emetụtala nke ukwuu, ọnụ ahịa nri mba ụwa na-arị elu.Ọnụ ahịa mba ụwa wee laghachi azụ na atụmanya mmepụta ka mma yana ntụgharị na mbupụ ọka Ukraine.
Mana Chen kwusiri ike na ụkọ nri fatịlaịza na Europe nwere ike imetụta ịkụ ihe ọkụkụ n'oge mgbụsị akwụkwọ ka nsogbu gas na Europe na-aga n'ihu.Ka ọ dị ugbu a, esemokwu dị n'etiti Russia na Ukraine ka na-egbochi mmepụta nri, na ntinye ego nke India na-atụnye ụtụ na mbupụ osikapa na-eyi egwu ọzọ.A na-atụ anya na ọnụ ahịa nri mba ụwa ga-aga n'ihu n'ihi ọnụ ahịa fatịlaịza dị elu, esemokwu Russia-Ukraine na ọnụahịa mbupụ si India.
Chen kwuru na mbupụ ọka Ukraine adaala ihe karịrị pasenti 50 site n'afọ gara aga ka ntiwapụ nke esemokwu Russia na Ukraine.Mbupụ ọka wit Russia e merụrụ ahụ nke ukwuu, na-ada ihe dị ka otu ụzọ n'ụzọ anọ n'ime ọnwa abụọ mbụ nke afọ ọrụ ugbo ọhụrụ.Ọ bụ ezie na mweghachi nke ọdụ ụgbọ mmiri Black Sea emeela ka nrụgide nri belata, esemokwu dị n'etiti Russia na Ukraine nwere ike ọ gaghị edozi n'oge dị mkpirikpi, ọnụ ahịa nri na-anọgidekwa na-enwe nrụgide dị elu.
Ego ole ka ahịa mmanụ dị?
Onye isi nyocha ike nke Haitong Futures Yang An kwuru na Russia kwupụtara akụkụ nke mkpokọta ndị agha, ọnọdụ geopolitical pụọ na ihe egwu na-abawanye, ọnụ ahịa mmanụ mgbe akụkọ ahụ welitere ngwa ngwa.Dị ka ihe dị mkpa atụmatụ atụmatụ, mmanụ na-enwe mmetụta nke ukwuu na nke a, na ahịa ngwa ngwa nyere ihe ize ndụ geopolitical, nke bụ nzaghachi nrụgide ahịa dị mkpirikpi.Ọ bụrụ na ọnọdụ na-akawanye njọ, ọdịda ọdịda anyanwụ megide Russia maka ike siri ike, na-egbochi ndị na-azụ ahịa Asia maka mmanụ Russia, ọ nwere ike ime ka Russia mmanụ mmanụ na-erughị ka a tụrụ anya ya, nke na-eweta mmanụ ga-akwado ya, ma na-atụle ahịa ahụ enwetala n'oge oge. ọkara mbụ nke mmachi megide Russia ọkọnọ maka oke atụmanya e mesịrị gbanwetụrụ na mmalite afọ nke ọnwụ, mmetụta ga-mkpa ka esoro ka ihe omume na-apụta.Tụkwasị na nke ahụ, na etiti na ogologo oge, mgbasawanye nke agha bụ nnukwu ihe na-adịghị mma maka akụ na ụba ụwa, nke na-adịghị mma maka mmepe ahụike nke ahịa.
"Mbupụ mmanụ sitere n'oké osimiri nke Russia dara nke ukwuu na ọkara mbụ nke ọnwa a. Mbupu mmanụ sitere na ọdụ ụgbọ mmiri ya dara ihe fọrọ nke nta ka ọ bụrụ 900,000 barel kwa ụbọchị n'izu ruo Septemba 16, ọnụ ahịa mmanụ na-agbanwe nke ukwuu na akụkọ mkpokọta ụnyaahụ. Anyị na-ebuli ọnụego ka igbochi onu oriri dịruru ná njọ na-eche mmanụ ahịa ga-anọgide na-azụ isi variables nke ọkọnọ bụ agaghịkwa na-aga n'ihu na-akawanye njọ, dị ka nke ugbu a ọkọnọ nke crude mmanụ na Russia ọ bụ ezie na logistics mgbanwe, ma ọnwụ na-ejedebeghị, ma ozugbo escalation, na-eduga na. inye nsogbu ndị dị ugbu a, wee bulie ọmụrụ nwa n'ime obere oge ọ ga-esi ike ịkwụsị ọnụ ahịa."Onye nyocha Citic Futures Yang Jiaming kwuru.
Europe ọ na-emerụ ahụ na esemokwu Ukraine?
N'oge mmalite nke esemokwu ahụ, ọtụtụ ụlọ ọrụ buru amụma na arụmọrụ akụ na ụba Russia ga-agbada site na 10% n'afọ a, ma mba ahụ na-ejide ugbu a karịa ka ha chere.
GDP Russia dara 0.4% na ọkara mbụ nke 2022, dị ka data gọọmentị si kwuo.Ọ dị mma ịmara na Rọshịa ahụla foto dị iche iche nke mmepụta ike, gụnyere mmanụ na gas, na-ebelata mana ọnụ ahịa na-arị elu, yana ndekọ ndekọ ugbu a karịa ijeri $ 70.1 na nkeji nke abụọ, nke kachasị elu kemgbe 1994.
N'ọnwa Julaị, International Monetary Fund welitere amụma GDP ya maka Russia n'afọ a site na pasent 2.5, na-ebu amụma nkwekọrịta nke 6 pasent.IMF kwuru na n'agbanyeghị mmachi nke ọdịda anyanwụ, Russia yiri ka ọ nwere mmetụta ha yana ọchịchọ ụlọ egosila ụfọdụ ike.
EPT hotara onye bụbu praịm minista Gris Alexis Tsipras na-ekwu na Europe nwere nnukwu geopolitical tụfuru na esemokwu Russia na Ukraine, ebe United States enweghị ihe ọ bụla ga-efunahụ ya.
Ndị minista na-ahụ maka ike nke European Union (EU) nwere nzukọ mberede na Mọnde iji kparịta usoro pụrụ iche iji gbochie ọnụ ahịa ike na-arị elu ma belata nsogbu ike ike, You Ting, onye osote onye nyocha na Carbon Neutral Development Institute nke Mahadum Shanghai Jiao Tong kwuru.Ndị a na-agụnye ụtụ isi uru nke ikuku na-ada n'ụlọ ọrụ ọkụ, ọnụ ahịa ọnụ ala ọkụ eletrik na ọnụ ahịa gas sitere na Russia.Otú ọ dị, site na nzukọ ahụ mara ọkwa nsonaazụ nke nyocha ahụ, na mbụ na-eche banyere njedebe ọnụahịa nke gas Russia, n'ihi nnukwu ọdịiche dị n'ime ime n'etiti mba ndị òtù emezughị nkwekọrịta.
Maka EU, ịchebe esemokwu na ịnọkọ ọnụ bụ ụzọ dị ike isi lanarị oyi, mana oyi a nwere ike ịbụ "oyi kachasị mma" na "kachasị ọnụ" n'afọ ndị na-adịbeghị anya n'ihu nrụgide bara uru na nkwụsi ike megide Russia. Yuding kwuru.
Oge nzipu: Sep-23-2022